Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#22
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#35
Pace77.6#19
Improvement+2.5#76

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#105
Improvement+0.2#169

Defense
Total Defense+11.2#4
Improvement+2.3#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 43.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.4% n/a n/a
Second Round62.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen27.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.9% n/a n/a
Final Four5.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 150   Illinois St. W 96-58 92%     1 - 0 +36.6 +11.8 +19.4
  Nov 12, 2013 6   @ Virginia W 59-56 29%     2 - 0 +22.8 -2.3 +25.1
  Nov 16, 2013 249   Winthrop W 92-71 97%     3 - 0 +13.5 +4.5 +6.8
  Nov 21, 2013 43   Florida St. L 67-85 63%     3 - 1 -7.5 -12.2 +7.9
  Nov 22, 2013 140   Long Beach St. W 73-67 87%     4 - 1 +7.8 +9.7 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2013 56   Georgetown L 80-84 68%     4 - 2 +5.3 +1.2 +4.6
  Nov 29, 2013 205   Northeastern W 79-66 95%     5 - 2 +7.8 +9.3 -0.8
  Dec 01, 2013 121   @ Belmont W 81-68 78%     6 - 2 +18.9 -0.5 +18.2
  Dec 05, 2013 144   Eastern Kentucky W 71-68 OT 91%     7 - 2 +1.8 -7.0 +8.8
  Dec 08, 2013 183   Old Dominion W 69-48 94%     8 - 2 +17.0 +0.0 +17.9
  Dec 14, 2013 96   @ Northern Iowa L 68-77 72%     8 - 3 -1.2 -2.6 +1.3
  Dec 17, 2013 198   Wofford W 72-57 95%     9 - 3 +10.2 +0.7 +10.0
  Dec 21, 2013 157   Virginia Tech W 82-52 89%     10 - 3 +30.6 +12.8 +17.8
  Dec 28, 2013 130   Boston College W 69-50 85%     11 - 3 +21.6 -9.8 +31.0
  Jan 03, 2014 172   Stony Brook W 81-63 94%     12 - 3 +14.8 +4.3 +10.1
  Jan 09, 2014 137   George Mason W 71-57 91%     13 - 3 1 - 0 +13.2 -5.0 +17.6
  Jan 14, 2014 50   @ George Washington L 66-76 55%     13 - 4 1 - 1 +2.6 -5.2 +8.5
  Jan 18, 2014 149   Duquesne W 80-65 92%     14 - 4 2 - 1 +13.6 -4.5 +16.6
  Jan 22, 2014 60   @ Dayton W 80-66 59%     15 - 4 3 - 1 +25.5 +15.6 +10.7
  Jan 25, 2014 106   @ La Salle W 97-89 2OT 75%     16 - 4 4 - 1 +14.8 +8.2 +4.9
  Jan 29, 2014 203   Fordham W 76-60 95%     17 - 4 5 - 1 +10.8 -5.2 +15.5
  Feb 01, 2014 95   Richmond W 81-70 86%     18 - 4 6 - 1 +13.3 +13.8 -0.3
  Feb 06, 2014 111   Rhode Island W 68-52 88%     19 - 4 7 - 1 +17.1 -2.5 +19.6
  Feb 08, 2014 57   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-69 58%     19 - 5 7 - 2 +4.9 -3.1 +7.8
  Feb 12, 2014 50   George Washington W 92-75 75%     20 - 5 8 - 2 +24.0 +12.6 +9.4
  Feb 15, 2014 42   @ Saint Louis L 62-64 52%     20 - 6 8 - 3 +11.3 -2.4 +13.8
  Feb 21, 2014 52   @ Massachusetts L 75-80 57%     20 - 7 8 - 4 +7.2 -4.7 +12.9
  Feb 27, 2014 203   @ Fordham W 85-66 89%     21 - 7 9 - 4 +19.4 +3.9 +14.4
  Mar 01, 2014 42   Saint Louis W 67-56 72%     22 - 7 10 - 4 +18.8 +9.8 +10.1
  Mar 06, 2014 95   @ Richmond W 56-50 72%     23 - 7 11 - 4 +13.9 -6.2 +20.5
  Mar 08, 2014 92   St. Bonaventure W 86-67 85%     24 - 7 12 - 4 +21.9 +4.5 +15.4
  Mar 14, 2014 95   Richmond W 71-53 80%     25 - 7 +23.1 +6.9 +17.0
  Mar 15, 2014 50   George Washington W 74-55 66%     26 - 7 +28.8 +11.0 +18.9
  Mar 16, 2014 57   Saint Joseph's L 61-65 68%     26 - 8 +5.1 -2.8 +7.6
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 99.4% 99.4% 6.6 0.0 1.4 12.1 29.5 42.8 12.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.4%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 99.4% 0.0% 99.4% 6.6 0.0 1.4 12.1 29.5 42.8 12.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.4%